Half of the seats of the Pennsylvania State Senate and all of the seats of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Republicans held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Republicans controlled the lower house in 29 states, Democrats controlled the lower house in 19 states, and one state, Alaska, had a lower house controlled by a coalition. Note: Seat Share Gap indicates the difference between the percentage of the votes that Democratic legislative candidates received in the chamber and the percentage of seats the Democrats won in the chamber. Women currently hold 521, or 26.4%, of the 1,972 state senate seats and 1,641, or 30.3%, of the 5,411 state house or assembly seats. We also should have at least tied the MI House and flipped the MN Senate. All of the seats of the Massachusetts Senate and the Massachusetts House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. The most important election of 2020 arguably isn’t for the White House — it’s the battle for control of America’s state legislatures. This year, the Princeton Election Consortium is focused on state … National Conference of State Legislatures (Abbreviations: vacancy, undecided, recall, Covenant Party,New Progressive Party, Popular Democratic Party) Unicameral - nonpartisan Unicameral - nonpartisan 2020 State & Legislative Partisan Composition (April 1st, 2020) Non-partisan Non-partisan Unicameral - nonpartisan. It could be ballot roll-off and/or ticket-splitting. For consistency, the historic charts show the party control as of January in each year. All of the seats of the unicameral Legislature of the Virgin Islands are up for election in 2020. The Michigan Senate did not hold regularly-scheduled elections in 2020. Let’s take a look at three possible groups of explanations that may have contributed to state legislative outcomes: gerrymandering, roll-off/ticket-splitting, and enthusiasm/awareness gap. This gap can also be expressed as a lack of coattails for downballot candidates from upballot candidates with higher profile races. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Democrats will be focused on keeping the GOP below 30 seats in the state Senate and 72 seats in the state House, to avoid a Republican supermajority that could thwart Democratic Gov. Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. All of the seats of the Connecticut State Senate and the Connecticut House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. The Wyoming State Legislature is the legislative branch of the U.S. State of Wyoming. Red cells indicate candidates who received at least 200,000 fewer votes than their party’s Presidential candidate OR chambers where a party received at least 400,000 fewer votes than their party’s Presidential candidate. [8] The chambers not up for election either hold regularly-scheduled elections in odd-numbered years, or have four-year terms and hold all regularly-scheduled elections in presidential midterm election years. Republicans held control of both chambers. In 2020, state legislatures will influence redistricting for the entire decade to come. It appears that there were a significant number of people who voted for Biden (regardless of the voter’s party registration), who either voted for Republican state legislators (split their ticket) or who did not vote for any state leg candidate (rolled off). Evidence of ticket-splitting may also reflect some number of people who chose to vote downballot but not higher on the ticket. All of the seats of the New York State Senate and the New York State Assembly were up for election in 2020. As of August 1, 2020, the following information is correct: Nationwide, Republicans controlled approximately 60 percent of the legislative chambers and 52 percent of the legislative seats. Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. As in any complex system, many factors likely contributed to these results. Democrats retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. The upper house tally includes the unicameral legislatures of Washington, D.C., Guam, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. We also should have flipped the Minnesota Senate under a map that better reflected voters’ preferences. Half of the seats of the Washington State Senate and all of the seats of the Washington House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Territorial and federal district summaries. Evidence of Ticket-Splitting and Roll-Off. Republican state legislative candidates got a higher % of the vote than did Trump in all our chambers. Some confluence of these and other factors resulted in Democrats not flipping legislative chambers and not picking up as many seats as they should have in numerous chambers across the country. Here are the QAnon supporters running for state legislatures in 2020. Anything less will leave half of America questioning the legitimacy of the 2020 election. Republicans have a government trifecta with control of the governorship and both state legislative chambers. Redistricting will take place in 2021after the 2020 U.S. Census. Let’s take a look at three possible groups of explanations that may have contributed to state legislative outcomes: gerrymandering, roll-off/ticket-splitting, and enthusiasm/awareness gap. Half of the seats of the Utah State Senate and all of the seats of the Utah House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Author: sarah huber Additionally, Jacobson predicted that Republicans could win control of the Alaska House, which was currently controlled by a coalition of Democrats and Republicans. Due to the impact the redistricting cycle will have on partisan control of Congress and state legislatures, the Democrats, who had not been in control of a majority of state legislatures across the U.S. since 2010, had hoped to retake control of key chambers in advance. ***Federal/gubernatorial numbers of 11/13/20; As of 11/12/20 for AZ, FL, MN, NC, PA Senate, WI. ), One theory is that Democrats weren’t able to flip chambers because of gerrymandering. For instance, we often use Wisconsin in 2018 as an example of this “seat share gap:” Democrats running for state assembly received 54% of the votes, but only won 36% of the seats (18% seat share gap). This table shows the partisan control of governor's offices and state legislative chambers in each state. All of the seats of the South Dakota Senate and the South Dakota House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. [9], Writing for Sabato's Crystal Ball, Chaz Nuttycombe highlighted the Alaska House and the New Hampshire Senate as the top pick-up opportunities for Republicans, and lists the Arizona House, the Arizona Senate, the Iowa House, the Michigan House, the Minnesota Senate, the North Carolina House, the North Carolina Senate, the Pennsylvania House, and the Texas House as the top pick-up opportunities for Democrats.[10]. All of the seats of the New Hampshire Senate and the New Hampshire House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. But generally speaking, Democrats running for state legislative seats did not get enough votes to have flipped chambers even if the maps had been more fair. Half of the seats of the Iowa Senate and all of the seats of the Iowa House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. When the COVID-19 pandemic hit, state legislatures took pending efforts by Democrat interest groups for expanded absentee voting and recast them as state-wide VBM authorizations. Democrats retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. The 2020 United States state legislative elections were held on November 3, 2020 for 86 state legislative chambers in 44 states. Generally, we don’t see a huge change in roll-off between 2016 and 2020 in the Minnesota Senate, North Carolina Senate, and Michigan House. Republicans held a majority in 59 chambers, and Democrats held the majority in 39 chambers. (If you are looking for current party composition, see here). The exception is Wisconsin, where we cannot locate vote totals in uncontested races, so our analysis includes contested races only.]. None of the state chambers targeted by Democrats flipped in 2020. Partisan seat figures were compiled in August 2020. This means that many Biden voters chose not to vote downballot. Nationwide, regularly-scheduled elections were held for 5,876 of the 7,383 legislative seats. Members of the senate serve four-year terms, while members of the house of representative serve two-year terms. The elections took place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections, including the presidential election, Please update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. Since 1971, the number of women serving in state legislatures has more than quintupled. Council members serve four-year terms. Across the fifty states, approximately 65 percent of all upper house seats and 85 percent of all lower house seats were up for election. In the table above, green boxes provide evidence of ticket-splitting and red boxes provide evidence of roll-off. Half of the seats of the Oregon State Senate and all of the seats of the Oregon House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. ... October 2020 CREG Forecast October 2020 CREG Forecast. Nine legislative chambers in the five permanently-inhabited U.S. territories and the federal district of Washington, D.C. also held elections. As in any complex system, many factors likely contributed to these results. Gubernatorial and legislative elections are conducted on a nonpartisan basis in American Samoa. Half of the seats of the Oklahoma Senate and all of the seats of the Oklahoma House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. One chamber (Alaska House) was sharing power between two parties. All of the seats of the Kansas Senate and the Kansas House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. That means that whoever is in charge of state legislatures following the November election will be drawing the district maps that will be in place… Otherwise, overall control of the state is marked as being divided. The Michigan House was also included since only one seat was uncontested. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. The Council of the District of Columbia serves as the legislative branch of the federal district of Washington, D.C. Half of the council seats are up for election in 2020. Terry has already raised $235,000 as Democratic donors pour money into legislative races nationwide in hopes of flipping state chambers in 2020. Prior to the elections, Democrats held 15 trifectas (control of the governor's office and both legislative chambers), Republicans held 21 trifectas, and 14 states have a divided government. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Half of the seats of the Ohio Senate and all of the seats of the Ohio House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. A key factor at stake this year: The 2020 election cycle will be the last one before the state-by-state lineups are set in advance of post-2020 Census redistricting. Republicans maintained control of the house of representatives. Half of the seats of the West Virginia Senate and all of the seats of the West Virginia House of Delegates were up for election in 2020. Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and West Virginia will each lose one seat. All of the seats of the Georgia State Senate and the Georgia House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Democrats banked heavily on an effort to win seats in state legislative chambers in 2020, only to be thoroughly rebuked by the GOP. All of the seats of the Rhode Island Senate and the Rhode Island House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Democrats’ failure to win more seats is clearly in large part because of gerrymandering. Pollsters predicted that many as seven state legislative chambers would flip to the liberals, but it seems as if they were off by seven. Republicans held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Your donations have the greatest effect when they are directed at close races where swinging a few votes might have a major effect on the political landscape. Half of the seats of the Wisconsin State Senate and all of the seats of the Wisconsin State Assembly were up for election in 2020. He predicted that Republicans could potentially gain control of the Maine Senate, the Minnesota House, and both chambers in New Hampshire, all of which were controlled by the Democratic Party. If it’s not just gerrymandering, then what else could explain the results?
All of the seats of the Minnesota Senate and the Minnesota House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. These figures represent the seats of Nebraska's unicameral legislature. 2020 Interim Committee Information. Gerrymandering can at least partly account for a failure to tie up the Michigan House. All of the seats of the Senate of Puerto Rico and the House of Representatives of Puerto Rico are up for election in 2020. The Alaska Senate is controlled by Republicans, while the Alaska House of Representatives is controlled by a coalition of Democrats, Republicans, and independents. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. [1] These elections had a major impact on the 2020 redistricting cycle, as many states held their final legislative elections prior to the decennial drawing of new congressional and state legislative districts. One third of the seats of the Illinois Senate and all of the seats of the Illinois House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Democrats running for state legislature got more votes than Republicans (49.82% to Republicans’ 49.70%) but remain in the minority of seats (47.27%). | Privacy Statement | Release of Liability Statement | Code of Conduct
Republicans retained control of both chambers. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. All of the seats of the New Mexico Senate and the New Mexico House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Nine legislative chambers in the five permanently-inhabited U.S. territories and the federal district of Washington, D.C. also held elections. Toggle navigation The State of Wyoming Legislature. The results indicate that this is likely the case. And this is crucially important this year, because 2020 is a census year. Note that this table only covers regularly-scheduled elections; additional special elections took place concurrently with these regularly-scheduled elections. This is a list of United States state legislatures.Each state in the United States has a … Half of the seats of the California State Senate and all of the seats of the California State Assembly were up for election in 2020. Nebraska is the only U.S. state with a unicameral legislature; half of the seats of the Nebraska Legislature were up for election in 2020. An analysis of the “why” would need to address issues like the resonance of Democratic messaging, the impact of the pandemic on Democratic field programs, the impact of misinformation, voter suppression tactics, and other factors. In 2020, 2,162, or 29.3% the 7,383 state legislators in the United States are women. The remaining portion of the U.S. population lives in Nebraska or. Republicans held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Voting behavior and electoral outcomes are multivariate, and the results we see have numerous causes. Washington, D.C., does not elect a governor or state legislature, but it does elect a, Although elections for governor of American Samoa are non-partisan, Governor. [1] Nationwide, approximately 40 percent of the population of the United States (including federal districts and territories) live in states with Republican control of the state government, 37 percent live in states with Democratic control, and 22 percent live in states with divided government.[c]. Half of the seats of the North Dakota Senate and the North Dakota House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Republicans held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Members of the senate serve either four-year terms, while members of the house serve two-year terms. **We were unable to find vote totals for uncontested candidates in Wisconsin, so totals only reflect contested races. One chamber (Alaska House) was sharing power between two parties. Half of the seats of the Indiana Senate and all of the seats of the Indiana House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Across the fifty states, approximately 65 percent of all upper house seats and 85 percent of all lower house seats were up for election. All of the seats of the American Samoa Senate and the American Samoa House of Representatives are up for election. Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Current and historic party control of state legislatures and government can be accessed below. All of the seats of the Michigan House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Half of the seats of the Kentucky Senate and all of the seats of the Kentucky House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. The 2020 presidential election is decided, but disinformation keeps circulating. All members of the legislature serve a two-year term. However, there are also cases in which the aggregate total for state legislative candidates is larger than the vote total for Senate or gubernatorial candidates from the same party. Green boxes are where downballot candidates received a higher number of votes than their party’s presidential candidate. As of November 30, 2020, Republicans controlled 52.39% of all state legislative seats nationally, while Democrats held 46.58%. In most chambers, we should have picked up more seats than we did, particularly in NC (both chambers), WI Assembly, GA House, and PA Senate. Many legislative chambers held elections for all seats, but some legislative chambers that use staggered elections held elections for only a portion of the total seats in the chamber. The elections took place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections, including the presidential election, U.S. Senate elections, U.S. House elections, and gubernatorial elections. This isn’t necessarily gerrymandering, as the seat share gap is small; however, this small gap prevented Democrats from taking the Senate majority. Nebraska has a unicameral, officially non-partisan legislature. But Election Night 2020 was another disappointment: Democrats whiffed in their bid to flip a single state legislative chamber and lost the majorities they gained in 2018 in New Hampshire. Republicans maintained control of the senate, while Democrats maintained control of the house of representatives. The 29 state legislatures with Republican majorities could play a role in deciding the 2020 presidential election. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. That candidate’s vote total was deleted from that party’s presidential candidate total to simulate the removal of that district. All of the seats of the North Carolina Senate and the North Carolina House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. All of the seats of the Maine Senate and the Maine House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. The upper houses of Arkansas, Delaware, Florida, Hawaii, Illinois, Minnesota, New Jersey, and Texas use a 2-4-4 term length system. (For an early analysis of some of the “why”s, check out our early analysis. Democrats received the majority of the votes (50.12% to Republicans’ 48.10%) but hold a minority of seats (47.76%). Regularly-scheduled elections were held in 86 of the 99 state legislative chambers in the United States. In each of these chambers, Democrats received far fewer seats than they had earned based on their vote share, which indicates an attempt to undermine Democratic voting power (i.e., Democratic voters are “packed” into the same districts or “cracked” to distribute them across several districts to limit Democratic voting power). For this reason, Nebraska is not included in the overall tallies of partisan control (except for governor) and the overall control column is labeled as "N/A". The state will be using new legislative maps that are a bit more favorable to Democrats than the previous GOP-drawn map, but Republicans will start with the edge to keep control after 2020. Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Without giving much consideration to the practical problems of implementing VBM on such a massive scale, the states saw it as a necessary step to take as a public health matter. (Paul J. Weber/AP) By Because we do not yet have presidential vote totals by state legislative race, we had to exclude chambers we worked in with more than 1 uncontested race. If this is true, we would expect Democrats running for state legislative seats to have, at the chamber level, received more votes than Republicans, but won fewer seats. Republicans retained control of both chambers. Not one state legislature flipped. Half of the seats of the Alaska Senate and all of the seats of the Alaska House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. For instance, Dems running for the Texas House received 733,000 less votes than Biden. All of the seats of the unicameral Legislature of Guam are up for election. [6] Overall, these elections saw the fewest partisan changes in state legislatures since 1944.[7]. For instance, Gov. After the 2020 Census, redistricting will occur, with congressional districts redrawn for the 2022 through 2030 elections. Half of the seats of the Tennessee Senate and all of the seats of the Tennessee House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. As of 11/13/20 for GA, MI, TX, PA House. Donald Trump escalated his efforts to undermine the 2020 election this week. Paid for by the Sister District Project, Inc. State legislatures in the 2020 election: what happened? Today, let’s take a glance at what we know about the status of partisan balance in the state legislatures. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Half of the seats of the Delaware Senate and all of the seats of the Delaware House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. However, despite fundraising efforts and projections of several Republican-held chambers in competitive states flipping, the Democrats failed to flip any state chambers, which they attributed to gerrymandering in the wake of the 2010 elections, as well as state laws restricting voting, President Donald Trump being on the ballot, and the Democrats' campaigning methods. This left us with the completely contested chambers of the Minnesota Senate and the North Carolina Senate. Cooper (D) received the most votes of any candidate on the NC ballot. Half of the seats of the Colorado Senate and all of the seats of the Colorado House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. *Only half of PA Senate seats were up for election but the whole state could vote for President. The legislature meets at the Wyoming State Capitol in Cheyenne. Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. Republicans held a trifecta in 20 states, Democrats held a trifecta in 15 states, and 14 states had a divided government. Nebraska is also unique in that its legislature is officially non-partisan and holds non-partisan elections, although the Democratic and Republican parties each endorse legislative candidates. For transparency, we are linking to our dataset, which we constructed based upon publicly-available voting information. Democrats retained control of both chambers. As of Monday, partisan control changed in two state legislative chambers as a result of the 2020 elections—Republicans gained majorities in the New Hampshire House of Representatives and the New Hampshire state Senate. Because the Kentucky legislature can override gubernatorial vetoes with a simple majority vote, Republicans have a veto-proof majority in the state legislature.[12]. There was a bit more roll-off this year in the North Carolina Senate, almost identical roll-off in the Michigan House, but a bit less in the Minnesota Senate. All of the seats of the Idaho Senate and the Idaho House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Another explanation for the results may be an enthusiasm or awareness gap between voters for the top and bottom of the ticket. We should have gotten really close to flipping the North Carolina Senate and House, the Wisconsin Assembly, the Georgia House, and the Pennsylvania Senate. Republicans held control of both chambers, and also gained a government trifecta by winning the 2020 Montana gubernatorial election. If it’s roll-off (where a person votes only for the top of the ticket and not further down the ballot), we would expect there to be significantly fewer total votes for down-ballot candidates in the chamber than the total number of votes received at the top of the ticket in the chamber. Half of the seats of the Hawaii Senate and all of the seats of the Hawaii House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Half of the seats of the Missouri Senate and all of the seats of the Missouri House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Republicans retained control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. This means that some voters who voted for Republicans at another level of the ballot also voted for Cooper. We also looked at the magnitude of roll-off in 2020 vs 2016. Republicans held a majority in 59 chambers, and Democrats held the majority in 39 chambers. Half of the seats of the Florida Senate and all of the seats of the Florida House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. It is clear that gerrymandering, roll-off, ticket splitting, and enthusiasm/awareness for candidates influenced races in many of the chambers we targeted in 2020. Republicans held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. We have a chance this November to wrest control of several state legislatures back from the Republicans. Go! ***As of 11/12/20 for AZ, FL, MN, NC, PA Senate, WI. Louis Jacobson of The Cook Political Report predicted that Republican-held chambers that could potentially flip to Democratic control included both chambers in Arizona, the Florida Senate, both chambers in Georgia, the Iowa House, the Michigan House, the Minnesota Senate, both chambers in North Carolina, both chambers in Pennsylvania, and the Texas House. All members of the legislature serve a two-year term. [2][3][4][5] Following the election, Republicans have control of redistricting in 20 state governments, totalling 188 House districts, whereas Democrats have control in states with a total of 73 districts. All of the seats of the Arizona Senate and the Arizona House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. In many states, this process is controlled by the state legislature, subject to gubernatorial veto.When one party controls the process, this can lead to gerrymandering, where district lines are set to maximize that party’s control in Congress. Half of the seats of the Nevada Senate and all of the seats of the Nevada Assembly were up for election in 2020. Republicans held control of both chambers. Members of the senate and the house both serve four-year terms. State legislatures should oversee their own election audit. The GOP flipped both legislative chambers in New Hampshire and the state House in Alaska while Democrats failed to regain control of a single state legislative body anywhere in the country. Half of the seats of the Texas Senate and all of the seats of the Texas House of Representatives were up for election in 2020. Key: Green cells indicate candidates/chambers that outperformed their party’s Presidential candidate. Bottom line: results are mixed. A portion of the seats of the Northern Mariana Islands Senate, and all of the seats of the Northern Mariana Islands House of Representatives, are up for election. The 2020 United States state legislative elections were held on November 3, 2020 for 86 state legislative chambers in 44 states. Republicans retained control of both chambers. Democrats held control of both chambers, maintaining a government trifecta. The QAnon conspiracy theory is rooted in the chan message boards. 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